The changees in party numbers since 2019 are -. The scale of the 2011 victory meant there was always going to be a swing back to Labor in 2015. Contact Justine Elliot. Just to the north lies Wakehurst (LIB 21.9%), straddling the boundary between Warringah and Mackellar. The Labor candidate is Parramatta Deputy Lord Mayor Sameer Pandey. Willoughby is the seat of former Premier Gladys Berejiklian. As the local regional hub, Penrith receives endless campaign coverage and it is a seat that Labor just has to win. Prices after the first 12 months may be varied as per full Terms and Conditions. Ms Dean said there was a wide divergence of political views from the electors in Ballina. Kogarah (ALP 0.1%) is Labor's most marginal seat and there was a significant swing against Labor in 2019. As one election official put it, The Lismore pre-poll is at the university, and you need a university degree to find it!. Home Delivery is not available in all areas. The indexes are linked from each guide page, making the site easy to navigate without resorting to Google. Now it is the turn of Dominic Perrottet. In additions, two seats won by the Liberal Party in 2019 are currently represented by suspended members. Enter the name of your locality/suburb With nowhere to park and long waits to vote, it felt more like a normal election Saturday than a working Monday, apart from the absence of democracy sausages. Gladys Berejiklian led the Coalition to a third but narrower victory in 2019. The Perrottet government remains strong on policy, but its management of day to day politics has slipped since the departure of former Premier Gladys Berejiklian. Labor's candidate is Michael Pilbrow. Even the fittest, leanest and most strong-willed paragons of virtuous eating, like myself, allow ourselves little indulgences, and Drug law reform has been taking the world by storm as Australia has, as usual, dragged its feet. broad-spectrum antibiotics list pdf; cefn druids vs newtown predictions; forest green vs barrow sofascore. To list a few examples; new Manly ferries that can't cope with rough weather at the heads; river cats that can't get under bridges with passengers on top; cracked light rail carriages; blowouts on a new country rail fleet. Every seat Labor misses short of Parramatta's margin requires victory in a safer Liberal seat, with Oatley (LIB 6.8%), Camden (LIB 7.3%), Ryde (LIB 8.9%) and South Coast (LIB 10.6%) the seats to watch. Photo supplied. Labor's problems are made worse by the mysterious delay in choosing successor candidates for retiring MPs Nick Lalich in Cabramatta (ALP 19.3%) and Guy Zangari in Fairfield (ALP 16.8%) New candidates were only chosen in the month before the election and Mayor Carbone has threatened to contest Cabramatta and back a colleague in Fairfield. I think its a great idea myself, she said. Western seats will see very different contests in 2023. The ABC's election computer is designed to highlight seats that change party status, so classing Kiama as Liberal-held will give greater prominence to Gareth Ward if he is elected as an Independent. I'm proud to be a local, fighting to get a fair share for our community from Canberra. He has also been a campaigner at the Australian Conservation Foundation, fighting to save the Great Barrier Reef, combat climate change and increase renewable energy. The ICAC has still not released its report into Berejiklian's actions. East Hills was amongst the last seats gained by the Liberal Party in 2011 and has been retained since despite a state-wide swing of 12% to Labor over two elections. The use of optional preferential voting at state elections has seen the Coalition avoid three-cornered contests since 1999. The new Liberal candidate is Toby Williams, but he faces a significant Independent challenge from Michael Regan who has been the high profile Mayor of Northern Beaches Council since 2017. Goulburn (LIB 3.1%) has not been won by Labor for six decades but sits on a winnable margin, while Federal results suggest the Nationals will be under pressure in the far north-east seat of Tweed (NAT 5.0%). You are only entitled to this subscription if and for as long as you hold a valid and active subscription with your Google Account. For those whose political memory extends back to last century, the political irony of the last decade is that seed funding for these projects came from electricity privatisation. Smith's family has lived in the Northern Rivers region for four generations. Ballina NSW Election Scorecards 2023 Australian Alliance for Animals Ballina - NSW Election 2023 Let's work together to put animals on the political map. Franklin has served in the Legislative Council since 2015 and is based on the NSW far north coast. Note: In some cases a locality/suburb or postcode may be in more than one postcode or name from the drop down menu and then click on the Search button. The last update of electorate information More importantly, all three lower house SFF members have resigned from the party and will re-contest as Independents. The electorate incudes Cape Byron, the most easterly point on the Australian mainland. There has also been a major expansion of the city's motorway network, though the new roads have come with a toll (pun intended). If you can spare a few dollars a week or maybe more we would appreciate all the support you are able to give to keep the voice of independent, local journalism alive. Kristina Keneally came to office mid-term and lost her only election while Nathan Rees didn't survive long enough to lead Labor to an election. Find My State or Local Election Office Website | USAGov Find My State or Local Election Office Website For local voting and registration questions, find your local election office contact information. A completely new seat with no sitting MP is Leppington (ALP 1.5%), formed from a disparate collection of rapidly growing new housing estates around where Liverpool, Campbelltown and Camden Councils meet. The first buyback offers were made this week to 250 homeowners in the area deemed most at risk of future flooding, part of a $520 million state and federal government program. Payment will be charged to your Google Account. No cancellations during the first 12 months. We acknowledge Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples as the First Australians and Traditional Custodians of the lands where we live, learn, and work. The Green vote has slowly risen over the last decade as the National vote has slipped, suggesting that the electorate's demographic change is hurting the Nationals but favouring the Greens over Labor. Details fo the Legislative Council election will also be added in the campaign. Labor won only 20 lower house seats, its worst performance since 1898. Theres obviously a big move to the independents. A member of the Labor Party, she has been the Member for Lismore in since March 2019. Ballina Shire Council has told the Australian Electoral Commission that it would prefer that all shire areas be in the one Federal electorate. Previous Next. The legal market for cannabis grew by an incredible 185% in the ten months following legalisation, while illegal markets decreased by 21%. Two seats above the swing needed for a Labor victory are worth watching with the retirement of each seat's sitting MP. Probably less of a threat is Shellharbour (ALP 18.4%) where Anna Watson is being challenged by Chris Homer, an Independent who was elected Mayor after Labor's usual grip on Shellharbour Council was broken at the December 2021 local government elections. The three Shooters, Fishers and Farmers Party MLAs elected in 2019 have resigned from the party and will re-contest their seats as Independents. Light rail construction has been a political sore but two of the promised lines are now up and running. New customers only. The vote was a dead heat in Tweed Heads, with the Nationals winning by four votes. Then, after the initial 12 weeks it is $28 billed approximately 4 weekly. The SFF polled 23.6% across western rural seats in 2019, outpolling Country Labor with only 15.4%. Each payment, once made, is non-refundable, subject to law. Or at least part of the next four years if it is a minority government. It is bordered by Oregon to the northwest,. Followed categories will be added to My News. Authorised by Jed Goodfellow on behalf of the Australian Alliance for Animals, 2 Paddington Street, Paddington, NSW 2021. The Labor candidate is Liverpool Councillor Nathan Hagarty, the Liberal candidate Camden Mayor Therese Fedeli. New beginnings for Anaiya after the flames, IPC hears of holiday letting pros and cons, Ian Hamilton, Pottsville Refugee Support Group, First residents move in to Wollongbar housingpods, Election 2023 Lismore: Vanessa Rosayro AJP, Election 2023 Lismore: Janelle Saffin MP for Labor, NSW Labor to stop floodplain development if elected, Q&A with Ballinas Labor candidate Andrew Broadley, Byron Shire Mayor, staff mute over Council court loss, Local concert series organiser hit with $5,000 fine. He also felt most early electors had already made up their minds. Ms Hodkinson said the big issues for Ballina were housing and the economy. Antony Green is the ABC's Chief Elections Analyst. Whan was a popular member for Monaro from 2003 to 2011 and ran the Nation als a close race in both 2011 and 2015.. It has been held since a February 2022 by-election by the National Party's Nichole Overall. Tags 2022 federal election pre-poll Ballina Nationals Labor Animal Justice Party BISC Hanabeth Luke Previous article Leila's off to Oxford! to identify your electorate. Premier Berejiklian forced disgraced MLA Daryl Maguire to resign after his corrupt conduct hed been exposed by an ICAC inquiry. The Coalition must hold its own seats amd make gains to recover majority government. Not in conjunction with any other offer. Judy Hannan is a local councillor, former state Liberal candidate and a defeated Independent in this seat at the 2019 election. Antony Green is the ABC's Chief Elections Analyst. However, Labor is back in the race after recruiting Steve Whan as its new candidate. The tale of the election will probably be decided by an arc of five marginal seats held by both sides that runs from Parramatta to Penrith through Sydney's north-western suburbs. Wright is a 36-year-old Radio Broadcaster, Filmmaker, Futurist and father of three. She has been involved in numerous environmental campaigns, including the campaign against coal seam gas that played a large part in her 2015 victory. Payment every 4 weeks for the first 12 weeks. She will be helped by there being three high profile independents, splitting the anti-Liberal vote under optional preferential voting. Based on Federal election figures, the Labor Party is strongly favoured to win Parramatta. In 2023 the Coalition still lives with the legacy of two decisions championed by former Premier Mike Baird. There is an emergency bushfire warning in place for Maintongoonin Victoria. Her departure openend the opportuinty for Labor to win the 2023 election, if it can beat a government that, while in trouble, is not in its political death throws. The legalisation of cannabis in parts of the United States has contributed to a total economic growth of $38 - $46 billion in 2019 and $54.6 - $66.9 billion in 2020. The loss of safe Liberal seats to Independents would damage the government's chances of finishing with more seats than Labor. Based on Federal election results in the local marginal seat of Gilmore, Labor's vote in South Coast is much higher than at the last state election. Moving up the electoral pendulum, the next three deciders lie outside the Sydney basin. Weve made a conscious effort to have a very relaxed atmosphere, to not be rushing at people, and to try and make democracy a pleasant experience, said Mr Williams. Electorate Office (Principal Office) Suite 6, Hallmark Centre, 107-111 Minjungbal Drive Tweed Heads South, NSW, 2486 Postal address PO Box 6996 Tweed Heads South, NSW, 2486 Telephone: (07) 5523 4371 Fax: (07) 5523 4379 Parliament Office PO Box 6022 House of Representatives Parliament House Canberra ACT 2600 Telephone: (02) 6277 4554 Speeches It explains that if you do not provide us with information we have requested from you, we may not be able to provide you with the goods and services you require. The Greens may be less competitive without the coal seam gas issue, but Greens MP Tamara Smith has had the opportunity to build a profile over the last four years. It is longer than the eleven years (but four election victories) under Premiers Askin, Lewis and Willis between 1965 and 1976, and longer than two-terms and seven years under Nick Greiner and John Fahey 1988 to 1995. Whether problems with new inter-urban trains are a specification problem or an industrial dispute might be a matter of opinion. Manly has a history of being won by Independents, most recently between 1991 and 2007. Could Australia follow suit? Select the subscription offer youd like to buy, click Subscribe with Google, and you will be directed to complete your purchase using your Google account. Before entering the NSW Parliament, Franklin was the State Director of the NSW Nationals for seven years. As already mentioned, Kogarah (ALP 0.1%) is held by party leader Chris Minns. Is NSW going in the opposite direction? Theres definitely variety!. This year's election will be the fifth in a row where voters will be passing judgement on a government led by a Premier who wasn't in charge four years earlier. Photo David Lowe. A year after the first ICAC appearance, Berejiklian resigned when the ICAC extended its inquiry to examine her conduct as Premier in the allocation of grant money to the electorate. Labor was thrashed in Fairfield at the 2021 local goverment elections, beaten by the Independent team backing popular Mayor Frank Carbone, along with the now Independent member for the Federal seat of Fowler, Dai Le. Since 2019, resignations and by-elections have reduced the Coalition to minority status. Allow up to 5 days for home delivery to commence. The Block winners Mitch and Mark to host new Location, Location, Location,Aussie favourite Location, Location, Location is returning to our screens for the first time in nearly a decade. to confirm which federal electorate you live in. On his retirement, and with the coal seam gas issue dominating the local campaign, the National vote plummeted to 36.6%, less than the combined Green/Labor vote of 51.7%. Drug law reform has been taking the world by storm as Australia has, as usual, dragged its feet. The growth of toll roads is a political issue at a time when cost of living issues are biting. Blasonato has lived in the Ballina electorate for over 25 years and has been an activist since she was a teenager. I think whats good about her is that she dares to talk and say what it is and what needs to be fixed. After two failed attempts by Labor, it is the Coalition that sold electricity assets and has determined how the proceeds should be spent. Ballina was established in the 1840s on the northern shore of the Richmond River near Cape Byron, Australia's most easterly point. I sincerely hope for a huge turnout locally. When local musician Lisa Hunt arrived for a meeting with police last Thursday she was hoping for a somewhat friendlier reception than she had received on the last occasion. While many seats may change party at the 2023 election, it is a smaller number that will determine whether Dominic Perrottet continues in office or Chris Minns becomes the state's 47th Premier. The large crossbench and minority government makes it difficult to define the swing each side needs for victory. Get breaking news alerts directly to your phone with our app. Mr Williams says that the official response to the floods is also a live issue, describing the delayed government response as really poor, with people who have been through absolute disaster being hassled for ID and told to fill out complex forms online to qualify for assistance. They are coming in and saying, Weve got to win. Full Digital Access + Weekend Paper Delivery 12 Month Plan costs $312 (min. contact the AEC For Labor, the strength in the seat is converting previous National Party voters to accept that theres a need for change.. There was a swing of 9.9%, the Coalition polled 54.3% of the two-party preferred vote, and was re-elected with 54 seats in the Legislative Assembly, a majority of 15. A harm reduction, rather than a Two weeks ago, massage therapist, Anaiya Cooper suffered a major setback when her business went up in flames. The traditionally low Labor vote in Port Macquiarie makes splitting the conservative vote less of a threat. Once again, your local independent media, BayFM 99.9 and The Echo, have joined forces to host Ballina: Meet the Candidates, on March 15 in the Byron Theatre from 6pm. ballina federal electoratebest tires for porsche panamera ballina federal electorate. The three Greens in the Assembly give Labor another option to take office if the party falls short of majority. She is contesting again in 2023 and has gained the support of Climate 200. It will be closely watched having been won by the party forming government at 27 of the 30 election since 1927. Helen Dalton in Murray (IND 2.8% v NAT) will be the most vulnerable, challenged by National candidate and Edward River Council Mayor Peta Betts. cost) for the first 12 months, charged as $24 every 4 weeks. Subscription automatically renews at least 24 hours before the end of the current billing period. Federal Member for Page Kevin Hogan said the progress of flood recovery is far too slow. See www.dailytelegraph.com.au/subscriptionterms for full details. With the federal election date set, here is an in-depth guide for the Richmond electorate which covers the main town centres of Tweed, Byron and Ballina. A second attempt in 2008 by Morris Iemma ended his premiership and started Labor's downward spiral to the 2011 election. He said that Labor had done poorly at pre-poll in the past, but 2022 had a much better feel. Letters longer than 200 words may be cut. This automatically renews to be charged as $24 (min. But I think Justine is going to be returned and I actually think she might get a bigger majority. Riverstone would be easily won by Labor based on a poor Liberal campiagn in Greenway at last year's Federal election. Lismore (ALP 2.0%) was a three-way contest at the 2019 election, with Labor's Janelle Saffin pipping the Greens for second place and going on to win on Green preferences. North Coast seats were once solely occupied by National Party MPs, but party representation in 2023 is more varied. Labor has also become the natural party of state government in Victoria. We provide a first-class careers service including career consulting, job planning, rsum writing, job interview coaching, LinkedIn profile summaries and corporate training. Not in conjunction with any other offer. Forty seven seats are required for majority government. As in 2019, the Labor candidate is former Penrith Mayor Karen McKeown. Handing out for the Greens Mandy Nolan and Kashmir Miller, Francoise Sauvere said a lot of people have already made up their minds. She said everyone was being respectful with each other on the electoral frontline in Ballina. Independent Richmond candidate David Warth said earlier this week he'd be talking with all the mayors in the electorate. The three safe Liberal seats on the Sydney's northern northern beaches would all be won by Independentts based on Federal results in Mackellar and Warringah. As in 2019, the Labor candidate is Craig Elliot, the husband of Labor's Richmond MP Justine Elliot. This is a seat where the Greens have outpolled Labor at the last three elections. Provest has the advantage of being a well known member, and Tweed is the weaker end of Richmond for the Greens. With each other on the NSW Nationals for seven years the Sydney basin premiership and started Labor 's Richmond Justine! 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